The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 2 19.9%
Draw 21.7%
New York Red Bulls 2 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24%
24%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
23.5%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Red Bulls 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Red Bulls 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Mrozek F. (G) 50. Samson F. 48. Lachekar S. 62. Gassan N. 41. Mosquera D. 82. Sphire C. 57. Orejarena L. 43. Holmes C. 54. Mize J. 51. Niang C. 19. Chirila S.
72. Szewczyk T. (G) 52. Modelo A. 71. Sanchez A. 38. Bori J. 22. Gjengaar D. 61. Cadigan D. 94. Baitinger S. 83. Rodriguez B. 80. Worth N. 92. Nelich D. 89. Gallagher C.
Substitutes
70. Bron L. 63. Cook C. 45. Gray N. 73. Huguet G. 95. Paz D. (G) 42. Vazquez M.
55. Causey A. (G) 60. Kone S. 32. Lomdono E. 42. Morigi M. 49. Munson J. 95. Odeyinka M. 41. Sakai S. 82. Sissoko M. 62. Sokoloff P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Baitinger S. ⚽, Gjengaar D. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Gallagher C. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
42', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 2, Chirila S. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Lachekar S. 🟨,
55', Mize J. ↓, Gray N. ↑,
58', Gallagher C. ↓, Sokoloff P. ↑,
58', Bori J. ↓, Munson J. ↑,
74', Gjengaar D. ↓, Odeyinka M. ↑,
75', Nelich D. ↓, Lomdono E. ↑,
77', Vazquez M. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Modelo A. (Own goal),
84', Lachekar S. ↓, Bron L. ↑,
89', Mosquera D. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Chirila S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Worth N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Orejarena L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rodriguez B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Niang C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Baitinger S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mosquera D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Modelo A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Holmes C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Cadigan D. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Samson F. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Munson J. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Gray N. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Sokoloff P. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 4.
Cincinnati 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, New York Red Bulls 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cincinnati 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
New York Red Bulls 2 - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Mrozek F. (G) 
Samson F. 
Lachekar S. 
Gassan N. 
Mosquera D. 
Niang C. 
Chirila S. 
Modelo A. 
Bori J. 
Gjengaar D. 
Huguet G. 
Vazquez M. 
Kone S. 
Morigi M. 
Odeyinka M. 
Sakai S. 
