Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.00	5.50
	1.56	3.70	5.00
	1.50	4.33	6.50
	1.44	4.56	6.14	Watch
	1.44	3.90	6.00
	1.43	4.05	6.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.09 ↓ (4.25)	5.95 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
62.2%

Draw
22.4%

Hartford Athletic
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

20.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pack A. (G) 30. Cruz S. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 19. LeFlore I. 17. Mattheus 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. 16. Micaletto M. 7. Conway E. 9. Myers M.	77. Siaha A. (G) 2. Anderson S. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 19. Samadia E. 5. Njie B. 10. Careaga S. 8. Moreira J. 16. Coffey B. 11. Ngalina M. 15. Diz A.
Substitutes
55. Archer L. 10. Cicerone R. 14. Henderlong K. 4. Hilton L. 20. Ostrem C. 36. Rodriguez A. 23. Schneider M. 1. Waite J. (G)	17. Anaku S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 24. Flynn G. 20. Hernandez A. 22. Presthus T. 29. Taofeek A. 9. Williams A.
Coaches
Casciato D.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Anderson S. ⚽,
30', Myers M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perez L. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
46', Micaletto M. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
59', LeFlore I. ↓, Ostrem C. ↑,
63', Njie B. ↓, Presthus T. ↑,
63', Schaefer B. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
71', Coffey B. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
83', Ngalina M. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
85', Conway E. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
88', Cruz S. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hartford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tampa Bay is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
10.06.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	New Mexico United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW
- Hartford Athletic
USL Cup
06.06.26	New York Cosmos - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Brooklyn - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.10.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	3:2
16.07.25	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1
23.10.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	2:2
21.06.24	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1
27.09.23	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2
02.09.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	2:1
09.07.22	Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3

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