Match Info

A-League - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Referee: King A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Newcastle Jets		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.55	Watch
	2.48	3.7	2.52
	2.54	4	2.61
	2.53	3.98	2.49	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.5
	2.61	3.89	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.47)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	2.54 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
38%

Draw
24.7%

Auckland FC
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

24%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Newcastle Jets - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Auckland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Auckland (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Auckland (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. (C) 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 28. Dobson W. 7. Adams E. 9. Rose L.	1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 15. De Vries F. (C) 27. Rogerson L. 8. Gallegos L. F. 7. Howieson C. 21. Randall J. 10. May G. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
39. Aquilina T. 43. Bertoncello X. 11. Gibson B. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 41. Scicluna L.	35. Bidois J. 22. Brimmer J. 77. Brook L. 14. Gillion L. 12. Hilton J. (G) 6. Verstraete L. 52. Vicelich L.
Coaches
Milligan M.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', May G. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Cosgrove S. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
35', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
45', Hall D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Cosgrove S. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
62', Rose L. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
71', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Verstraete L. ↑,
71', Rogerson L. ↓, Brook L. ↑,
81', Bertolissio J. ↓, Aquilina T. ↑,
81', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
81', Adams E. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
82', Cosgrove S. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
82', Howieson C. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
89', May G. ↓, Vicelich L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Newcastle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Auckland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Cockle O. (Inactive) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Auckland: Sail O. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55% Newcastle Jets: 12.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
07.03.26	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWW
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
07.03.26	Auckland FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	0:5 ✺
17.02.26	Sydney - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Auckland FC - Sydney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3
29.11.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2
09.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Auckland FC	1:1
29.11.24	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	2:0

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