Match Info

A-League - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Premier League
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Newcastle Jets		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.75	Watch
	2.1	4	2.9
	2.22	3.95	2.72	Watch
	2.3	4.2	2.78
	2.2	4.18	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.75
	2.19	4.08	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)	4.02 ↑ (3.68)	2.82 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
43.1%

Draw
23.5%

Western Sydney Wanderers
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. (C) 28. Dobson W. 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L. 7. Adams E.	20. Thomas L. (C) 14. Cancar P. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 18. Farrell J. 3. Gersbach A. 5. Scicluna D. 23. Kraev B. 8. Ugarkovic S. 32. Thurgate A. 7. Fraser R. 26. Borrello B.
Substitutes
39. Aquilina T. 43. Bertoncello X. 11. Gibson B. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 41. Scicluna L.	9. Barbarouses K. 25. Brillante J. 17. Carluccio J. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 11. Ibusuki H. 38. Rose J.
Coaches
Milligan M.	van Egmond G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Kraev B. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
54', Cancar P. 🟨,
69', Dobson W. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
69', Cancar P. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
76', Scicluna D. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Natta M. ⚽,
79', Kraev B. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
79', Pantazopoulos A. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
79', Borrello B. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
84', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
84', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
85', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
89', Bayliss L. ↓, Aquilina T. ↑,
89', Burgess M. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.

Newcastle has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Western Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Cockle O. (Inactive) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Adams E. (Face Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Newcastle Jets: 12.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
28.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWWW
- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
28.02.26	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2
26.04.25	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1
08.11.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	4:1
11.02.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	3:3
05.11.23	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2
21.01.23	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
28.10.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	2:0

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