Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Newcastle United West Bromwich Albion
    Newcastle United West Bromwich Albion
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.39)
    5.05
    (4.85)
    7.41
    (7.05)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Newcastle United
    68.6%
    Draw
    18.7%
    West Bromwich Albion
    12.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    67.4% 19.3% 13.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    62.3% 17.8% 14.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    80% 6.7% 13.3%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 12 - 80%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 59.8%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Newcastle (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    24. FranceJaouen E. (G)
    37. BosniaDedic A.
    12. GermanyThiaw M. (C)
      4. NetherlandsBotman S.
      3. EnglandHall L.
    14. NetherlandsSteur S.
    41. EnglandRamsey J.
    23. EnglandMurphy J.
    28. EnglandWillock J.
    17. IvoryToure B.
    27. GermanyWoltemade N.
    13. EnglandIngram M. (G)
    28. WalesWilliams A.
      2. WalesMepham C.
      6. USACampbell G. (C)
    22. EnglandTownsend C.
    29. EnglandWhitwell H.
    20. FranceNzingoula R.
    17. MaliDiakite O.
    21. NorthernPrice I.
      9. ScotlandStewart B.
    11. EnglandMorgan J.
    Substitutes
      8. FranceBamba A.
    11. EnglandBarnes H.
    19. SwedenElanga A.
    21. CzechHornicek L. (G)
    67. EnglandMiley L.
    62. EnglandNeave S.
      5. SwitzerlandSchar F.
    51. EnglandShahar L.
      9. DRWissa Y.
    23. JordanBany T.
    37. WalesBostock O.
    35. EnglandCrowther M.
    25. FranceGalves N.
      8. IrelandMolumby J.
      7. NorwayMyhre F.
      1. IrelandO'Leary M. (G)
      3. EnglandPhillips N.
      4. HungaryStyles C.
    Coaches
         GermanyJaissle M.
         ScotlandMorrison J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 18', Steur S. 🟨,
    • 19', 0 - 1, Price I. ,
    • 38', 1 - 1, Toure B. , Dedic A. (A),
    • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
    • 46', Toure B. , Barnes H. ,
    • 48', 2 - 1, Barnes H. , Thiaw M. (A),
    • 52', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
    • 55', Diakite O. 🟨,
    • 62', Stewart B. 🟨,
    • 64', Willock J. , Wissa Y. ,
    • 64', Murphy J. , Elanga A. ,
    • 65', Steur S. , Miley L. ,
    • 70', Nzingoula R. , Styles C. ,
    • 70', Morgan J. , Myhre F. ,
    • 71', Diakite O. , Molumby J. ,
    • 77', Jaouen E. 🟨,
    • 77', 2 - 2, Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 80', Whitwell H. , Bany T. ,
    • 80', Price I. , Bostock O. ,
    • 81', 3 - 2, Barnes H. , Dedic A. (A),
    • 89', Ramsey J. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
  • Recent form of Newcastle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • West Bromwich is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • West Bromwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
  • Recently, West Bromwich has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Newcastle is the clear favorite.
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
  • banner

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Newcastle United
    English Premier League
    23.08.26 Newcastle United - Liverpool 2:2
    Club Friendly
    16.08.26 Newcastle United - Strasbourg 1:1
    15.08.26 Newcastle United - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    12.08.26 Newcastle United - Everton 1:3
    29.07.26 Bristol City - Newcastle United 4:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    TTLLL
    - West Bromwich Albion
    English League Championship
    23.08.26 West Bromwich Albion - Burnley 3:1
    15.08.26 Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion 1:2
    English League Cup
    08.08.26 Rotherham United - West Bromwich Albion 1:4
    Club Friendly
    01.08.26 Peterborough United - West Bromwich Albion 0:2
    25.07.26 Shrewsbury Town - West Bromwich Albion 1:4
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    07.03.21 West Bromwich Albion - Newcastle United 0:0
    12.12.20 Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    English FA Cup
    03.03.20 West Bromwich Albion - Newcastle United 2:3
    English Premier League
    28.04.18 Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion 0:1
    28.11.17 West Bromwich Albion - Newcastle United 2:2
    06.02.16 Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion 1:0
    28.12.15 West Bromwich Albion - Newcastle United 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Newcastle United
    English Premier League
    29.08.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United
    - West Bromwich Albion
    English League Championship
    29.08.26 Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion