The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 68.6%
Draw 18.7%
West Bromwich Albion 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
19.3%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
17.8%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
6.7%
13.3%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 12 - 80%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 59.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Newcastle (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Jaouen E. (G) 37. Dedic A. 12. Thiaw M. (C) 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 14. Steur S. 41. Ramsey J. 23. Murphy J. 28. Willock J. 17. Toure B. 27. Woltemade N.
13. Ingram M. (G) 28. Williams A. 2. Mepham C. 6. Campbell G. (C) 22. Townsend C. 29. Whitwell H. 20. Nzingoula R. 17. Diakite O. 21. Price I. 9. Stewart B. 11. Morgan J.
Substitutes
8. Bamba A. 11. Barnes H. 19. Elanga A. 21. Hornicek L. (G) 67. Miley L. 62. Neave S. 5. Schar F. 51. Shahar L. 9. Wissa Y.
23. Bany T. 37. Bostock O. 35. Crowther M. 25. Galves N. 8. Molumby J. 7. Myhre F. 1. O'Leary M. (G) 3. Phillips N. 4. Styles C.
Coaches
Jaissle M.
Morrison J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Steur S. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Price I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Toure B. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Toure B. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Barnes H. ⚽, Thiaw M. (A),
52', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
55', Diakite O. 🟨,
62', Stewart B. 🟨,
64', Willock J. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
64', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
65', Steur S. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
70', Nzingoula R. ↓, Styles C. ↑,
70', Morgan J. ↓, Myhre F. ↑,
71', Diakite O. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
77', Jaouen E. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Whitwell H. ↓, Bany T. ↑,
80', Price I. ↓, Bostock O. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Barnes H. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
89', Ramsey J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
Recent form of Newcastle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
West Bromwich is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
West Bromwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
Recently, West Bromwich has had a series of away games.
In this match, Newcastle is the clear favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).