Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	03:30	Stan Sport
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Bangladesh	22:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	00:30	Migu
Colombia	11:30	ESPN
Costa Rica	10:30	Teletica 7, Teletica
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:30	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
El Salvador	10:30	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	19:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	18:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Honduras	10:30	Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	18:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport
India	22:00	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	23:30	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Italy	18:30	SKY Go Italia
Japan	01:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	19:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	21:30	Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	10:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Myanmar	23:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	22:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	17:30	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	13:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	00:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	19:30	Voyo
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	00:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	18:30	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	00:30	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	23:30	FPT Play


	Newcastle United		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.75	3.20
	2.15	3.75	3.10
	2.16	3.60	3.20
	2.18	3.83	3.34
	2.26	3.8	3.07	Watch
	2.16	3.80	3.20
	2.22	3.80	3.06	Watch
	2.11	3.90	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)	3.78 ↓ (3.83)	3.18 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
44.3%

Draw
25.4%

Aston Villa
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	14.3%	52.4%

Newcastle United - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.54) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Aston Villa (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Corners O/U 10 - over (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 20%). Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hornicek L. (G) 67. Miley L. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 6. Nico 7. Joelinton (C) 20. Fernandez-Pardo M. 28. Willock J. 11. Barnes H. 9. Wissa Y.	1. Suzuki Z. (G) 2. Cash M. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. (C) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 47. Alysson 44. Manzambi J. 10. Buendia E. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
8. Bamba A. 33. Burn D. 37. Dedic A. 23. Murphy J. 10. Osula W. 1. Pope N. (G) 5. Schar F. 14. Steur S. 17. Toure B.	6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 27. Goretzka L. 4. Harwood-Bellis T. 39. Madjo B. 19. Mbaye I. 7. McGinn J. 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Joelinton 🟨,
18', Botman S. 🟨,
25', Joao Gomes 🟨,
28', Alysson 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alysson ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
53', Nico 🟨,
55', Wissa Y. 🟨,
56', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
56', Willock J. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
72', Buendia E. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
72', Joao Gomes ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
72', Manzambi J. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
77', Wan-Bissaka A. ↓, Torres P. ↑,
78', Osula W. 🟨,
79', Emery U. 🟨,
86', Thiaw M. 🟨,
90', Joelinton ↓, Burn D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.

Newcastle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aston Villa is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aston Villa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Newcastle is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:25 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newcastle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:9 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
12.10.26	Coventry City - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Newcastle United - Hull City	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Leeds United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Millwall - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWT
- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sevilla - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
19.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Coventry City - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.02.26	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3
English Premier League
25.01.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:2
16.08.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	0:0
19.04.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	4:1
26.12.24	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	3:0
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3
12.08.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	5:1

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