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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 45.2%
Draw 25.2%
Aston Villa 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
25.1%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
26.2%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Newcastle United - Aston Villa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Recently, Aston Villa has had a run of games away from home.
Newcastle is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:25 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newcastle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:9 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).
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