Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	19:30	FanCode, FanCode
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay


	West Bromwich Albion		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.50	4.20	Watch
	1.93	3.50	4.00
	1.87	3.50	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.73	4.27
	1.96	3.49	3.91	Watch
	1.88	3.70	4.15
	1.89	3.58	4.29	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	4.08 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
50.1%

Draw
26.6%

Blackburn Rovers
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 18. Pereira B. 2. Mepham C. 6. Campbell G. (C) 4. Styles C. 15. Collyer T. 21. Price I. 8. Molumby J. 20. Nzingoula R. 11. Morgan J. 9. Stewart B.	22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. 3. Pickering H. 8. Morsy S. 31. Montgomery K. 25. Morishita R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 21. Afolayan O. 9. Gudjohnsen A.
Substitutes
23. Bany T. 17. Diakite O. 19. Heggebo A. 13. Ingram M. (G) 7. Myhre F. 3. Phillips N. 22. Townsend C. 26. Tunde K. 29. Whitwell H.	24. Baradji M. 27. Beyuku G. 17. Carter H. 14. De Neve D. 11. Fevrier J. 30. Garrett J. 29. Jorgensen M. 7. Kargbo A. 1. Pears A. (G)
Coaches
Morrison J.	Mowbray T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽, Montgomery K. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Stewart B. ⚽,
21', Montgomery K. 🟨,
23', Campbell G. 🟨,
27', Morishita R. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
32', Afolayan O. 🟨,
41', Mepham C. 🟨,
43', Collyer T. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Afolayan O. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
60', Cantwell T. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
61', Morsy S. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
63', Stewart B. ↓, Heggebo A. ↑,
63', Nzingoula R. ↓, Whitwell H. ↑,
71', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Carter H. ↑,
87', Campbell G. ↓, Phillips N. ↑,
87', Morgan J. ↓, Myhre F. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Myhre F. ⚽, Heggebo A. (A),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2.

In recent outings, West Bromwich has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Blackburn is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

West Bromwich carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for West Bromwich: Galves N. (Knee Injury) Johnston M. (Broken Leg).

Confirmed absences for Blackburn: Forshaw A. (Hip Injury) Litherland M. (Muscle Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ohashi Y. (Hamstring Injury) Ribeiro Y. (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Blackburn: Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, West Bromwich has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for West Bromwich against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16:13	3	21
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19:16	3	18

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Brom: 5.84% Blackburn: 1.29%

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
13.10.26	Wrexham - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
13.10.26	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.26	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
09.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
12.02.25	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	0:2
23.10.24	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
13.01.24	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	4:1
05.08.23	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
15.02.23	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:1

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