Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.80
	2.81	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.53	3.39	2.95
	2.51	3.4	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.9
	2.54	3.51	2.85	Watch
	2.47	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.78)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	2.79 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
37.6%

Draw
28.4%

Burnley
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

West Bromwich Albion - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Burnley will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 25. Galves N. 3. Phillips N. 6. Campbell G. (C) 4. Styles C. 8. Molumby J. 17. Diakite O. 7. Myhre F. 21. Price I. 29. Whitwell H. 11. Morgan J.	1. Weiss M. (G) 22. Sonne O. 2. Walker K. (C) 3. Alleyne M. 6. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 28. Mejbri H. 10. Edwards M. 21. Ramsey A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 27. Broja A.
Substitutes
23. Bany T. 5. Bielik K. 37. Bostock O. 13. Ingram M. (G) 2. Mepham C. 20. Nzingoula R. 9. Stewart B. 22. Townsend C. 28. Williams A.	15. Ahmedhodzic A. 11. Amdouni Z. 37. Coudert G. (G) 23. Lucas Pires 8. Raghouber U. 14. Roberts C. 12. Satpaev D. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Morrison J.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Styles C. (Own goal),
18', 1 - 1, Whitwell H. ⚽, Morgan J. (A),
26', Sonne O. 🟨,
33', Campbell G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sonne O. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Price I. ⚽,
57', Mejbri H. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
57', Broja A. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
57', Laurent J. ↓, Satpaev D. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Edwards M. 🟨,
78', Morgan J. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
78', Humphreys B. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
81', Whitwell H. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
90+4', Molumby J. ↓, Mepham C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.

West Bromwich has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Burnley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

West Bromwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, West Bromwich has had a series of away games.

Recently, Burnley has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Inactive) Heggebo A. (Suspended)

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Injury) Banel J. (Injury) Barnes A. (Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Brom: 2.42% Burnley: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14
22	Burnley	9	1	4	4	13:17	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Burnley - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
15.08.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Rotherham United - West Bromwich Albion	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Peterborough United - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shrewsbury Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:4 ✺
17.07.26	West Bromwich Albion - Bromley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
16.08.26	Burnley - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burnley - Notts County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Burnley - Torino	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Burnley - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Ajax - Burnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.03.25	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	1:1
07.11.24	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	0:0
20.01.23	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
02.09.22	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	1:1
English Premier League
20.02.21	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
19.10.20	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	0:0
31.03.18	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	1:2

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