The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 41.7%
Draw 31.7%
Barracas Central 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
31%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
33%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Newells Old Boys - Barracas Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 4% – 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barracas Central (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 25%). Barracas Central (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 4. Montero A. 29. Noguera F. 3. Sosa L. 15. Victor Cuesta 25. Tabares A. 14. Fernandez M. 5. Banega E. (C) 20. Maroni G. 18. Benedetto D. 32. Gonzalez C.
28. Ledesma M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 14. Jappert K. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 9. Morales G. 23. Tapia I. (C) 5. Miloc D. 11. Ruiz J. 7. Bruera F.
Substitutes
17. Acuna V. 30. Barlasina W. (G) 9. Garcia J. 19. Gomez Mattar J. 13. Guch F. 36. Luciano M. 6. Mosquera J. 7. Orozco F. 44. Pereira A. 27. Regiardo L. 97. Salcedo S. 34. Sotelo D.
10. Barrios N. 17. Blandi N. 20. Candia J. 2. Capraro N. 24. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Mater F. 30. Mino M. (G) 19. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S. 21. Tapia I.
Coaches
Fabbiani C.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Banega E. (A),
26', Fernandez M. 🟨,
27', Benedetto D. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Bruera F. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benedetto D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Morales G. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Tapia I. (Pen),
59', Sosa L. ↓, Regiardo L. ↑,
61', Fernandez M. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
63', Montero A. 🟨,
65', Maroni G. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
70', Regiardo L. 🟨,
72', Tapia I. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
78', Ruiz J. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
84', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
86', Espinola J. 🟨,
90+1', Demartini N. 🟨,
90+6', Bruera F. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Newells Old Boys has had a series of away games.
Newells Old Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L.
(Knee Injury)
Lollo L.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Barracas Central: Kruger F.
(Knee Injury)
Pianovi F.
(Inactive)
Tobio F.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Newells Old Boys - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 44.15%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.