Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rosario Central		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.6	6.5
	1.57	3.70	6.25
	1.6	3.45	6.8	Watch
	1.64	3.63	6.71
	1.65	3.66	5.73	Watch
	1.61	3.55	6.6
	1.6	3.62	6.62	Watch
	1.58	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.82)	3.61 ↑ (3.19)	6.43 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
59.1%

Draw
26.2%

Newells Old Boys
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

29.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: Rosario Central will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 88. Rodriguez A. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.	30. Reinatti J. (G) 6. Ortega M. 17. Giannetti L. 16. Carrizo L. 24. Escobar F. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 7. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 32. Solari S. 9. Coccaro M.
Substitutes
16. Badaloni T. 26. Cantizano G. 10. Cervi F. 28. Fernandez P. 24. Gimenez J. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 9. Ruben M. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 1. Werner A. (G) 2. Zaracho S.	21. Arias G. (G) 25. Cabrera B. 18. Garcia M. E. 19. Gomez J. 27. Gomez L. 33. Nunez W. 99. Ramirez I. 39. Rios T. 28. Russo J. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F. 15. Sonora A.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Ibarra F. 🟨,
6', Escobar F. 🟨,
24', Coccaro M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Avila G. ⚽, Copetti E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Herrera R. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
60', Guch F. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
60', Escobar F. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
61', Sandez A. 🟨,
66', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
66', Pizarro V. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
76', Copetti E. ↓, Ruben M. ↑,
76', Avila G. 🟨,
79', Ortega M. 🟨,
80', Mazzantti W. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
82', Regiardo L. 🟨,
89', Ortega M. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
90+1', Solari S. 🟨,
90+1', Soto A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Coccaro M. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
90+6', Di Maria A. ↓, Zaracho S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Newells Old Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rosario is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rosario: Duarte G. (Knee Injury) Fernandez J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Goitea N. (Hernia) Luciano M. (Injury) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Nunez W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 1.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Rosario Central: 7.41% Newells Old Boys: 1.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.94%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.26	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	Corinthians - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Rosario Central - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Banfield	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2
23.08.25	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
16.02.25	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	1:2
10.08.24	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:1
30.09.23	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:0

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