The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 16.2%
Draw 23.8%
River Plate 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
26.7%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
26.2%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newells Old Boys - River Plate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Natta M. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 11th).
Newells Old Boys is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
River Plate has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Newells Old Boys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to River Plate for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newells Old Boys against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Argentina
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