Match Info

Irish League Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)


	Ballymena United		Newington

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.65	7.5
	1.23	5.09	9.67
	1.25	5.83	9.44
	1.6	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)	4.77 ↑ (3.8)	7.85 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
68.6%

Draw
19.5%

Newington
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ballymena United - Newington Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Ballymena United (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ballymena United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Lafferty D. ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Edogun S. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, McCurry C. ⚽,

Preview

Ballymena United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ballymena United is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
01.11.25	Ballymena United - Larne	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Glentoran - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Ballymena United - Coleraine	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Loughgall - Newington	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Newington - Armagh City	5:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dundela - Newington	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ballymena United - Newington	4:2
Northern Irish League Cup
27.08.19	Ballymena United - Newington	3:0
30.08.16	Ballymena United - Newington	4:1

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