Match Info

Irish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)


	Glenavon		Newington

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.95
	2.90	3.67	2.19	Watch
	1.7	3.5	3.9
	1.67	3.85	4.12
	1.63	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
48.9%

Draw
25.1%

Newington
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Glenavon - Newington Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Stuart D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, McGovern P. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Donnelly R. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Campbell P. ⚽,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
104', 3 - 2, Ferris ⚽,
110', 4 - 2, Gilmore ⚽,
114', 🟥,

Preview

Recent form of Glenavon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Glenavon is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Glenavon - Linfield	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Glenavon - Bangor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Institute FC - Newington	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Newington - Queens University Belfast	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Newington - Annagh United	1:5 ✺
29.11.25	Newington - Institute FC	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWT

Glenavon - Newington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide