Match Info

League One - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.68	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.73	3.56	2.52
	2.63	3.45	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.38
	2.83	3.49	2.33	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.84)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
34.6%

Draw
26.9%

Doncaster Rovers
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 36. Adegboyega E. 15. Baptiste J. 6. James R. 19. Benson J. 8. Spence K. 17. McWilliams S. 20. Watmore D. 24. Gray H. 10. Nombe S.	29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 12. Byrne N. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 18. Lee E. 47. Adelakun H. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
18. Agbaire L. 29. Biancheri G. 13. Cann T. (G) 28. Cover B. 11. Martha A. 49. Sousa L. 16. Yearwood D.	8. Broadbent G. 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 9. Hanlan B. 17. Middleton G. 32. Oram J. (G) 5. Pearson M.
Coaches
Hamshaw M.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', McGrath J. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),
10', McWilliams S. 🟨,
17', Byrne N. 🟨,
45', Spence K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sharp B. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
46', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
46', Adelakun H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
46', McWilliams S. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Middleton G. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Molyneux L. ⚽,
73', Sterry J. 🟨,
75', Watmore D. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
75', Benson J. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
79', Gotts R. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
79', Rafferty J. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
87', Molyneux L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
90+1', James R. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
90+6', Gray H. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Doncaster has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Doncaster: Clark Z. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Doncaster: 1.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Doncaster	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
17.02.26	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rotherham United - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Exeter City - Rotherham United	0:4 ✺
27.01.26	Rotherham United - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWT
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
17.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.02.26	Huddersfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
07.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
03.02.26	Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.08.25	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	0:0
19.07.22	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	2:2
English League One
01.02.22	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	0:5
English EFL Trophy
07.09.21	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	0:6
English League One
28.08.21	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	2:0
English EFL Trophy
08.10.19	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	3:2

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