Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Blair H. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Newport County		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.35
	3.00	3.30	2.25
	2.9	3.2	2.35
	3.02	3.37	2.46
	2.9	3.34	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.35
	2.77	3.42	2.41	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.92)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
32.3%

Draw
28.1%

Rochdale
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.1%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Newport County - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (C) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. 3. Davies T. 2. Evans C. 6. Brennan C. 20. Bamba Y. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.	1. Ramming N. (G) 13. Adebayo-Rowling T. 26. Sherring S. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 27. Bilongo B. 10. Rodney D. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 19. Hannant L. 39. Brown D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.
Substitutes
14. Alexander-Walker M. 19. Garner G. 40. Jarvis C. 33. MacDonald S. (G) 17. Merritt A. 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M.	17. Adeeko B. 14. Francis E. 22. Moss D. 11. Silcott-Duberry Z. 12. Spaven J. (G) 20. Waller S. (G) 3. Wilson K.
Coaches
Mullins H.	Watson I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Cameron K. ⚽, Bamba Y. (A),
34', Adebayo-Rowling T. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
42', Bilongo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Hannant L. 🟨,
62', Hannant L. ↓, Silcott-Duberry Z. ↑,
65', Doidge C. ↓, Merritt A. ↑,
66', Bilongo B. 🟨,
70', East R. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
70', Gilmour H. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
70', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
80', Gwengwe S. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
86', Jenkins L. 🟨,
88', Evans C. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Bamba Y. ⚽,
90+5', Merritt A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.

Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rochdale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There are questionable in Newport: Bamba Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rochdale: Smith J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Rochdale: 0.83% Newport: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rochdale	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14
12	Newport	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Newport County - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Cup
08.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Newport County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Newport County - Roma	1:4 ✺
28.07.26	Newport County - Reading	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Gloucester City - Newport County	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Rochdale AFC
English League Cup
08.08.26	Bradford City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Rochdale - Halifax Town	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Rochdale - Farnham Town	2:2 ✺
19.07.26	Rochdale - Al-Rayyan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.01.23	Rochdale - Newport County	1:1
08.10.22	Newport County - Rochdale	0:1
07.05.22	Newport County - Rochdale	0:2
18.12.21	Rochdale - Newport County	3:0
03.05.14	Newport County - Rochdale	2:1
12.10.13	Rochdale - Newport County	3:0

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