Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Neza		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	3.06	3.81	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.62	1.79
	3.65	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.06)	3.69 ↓ (3.81)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neza
26.2%

Draw
24.8%

Deportiva Venados
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

25.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Neza - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, ⚽,
87', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Neza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportiva Venados has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportiva Venados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportiva Venados is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neza FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Dragones Toluca - Neza	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Neza - Cañoneros Marina	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Neza	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Neza - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Montañeses - Neza	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTW
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Deportiva Venados - Dragones Toluca	8:1 ✺
07.11.25	Cañoneros Marina - Deportiva Venados	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	2:3 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW

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