Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Neza		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	5	4.8	1.34
	5.43	4.92	1.43
	5	4.6	1.4
	5.37	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.12)	4.77 ↑ (4.2)	1.4 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neza
17.2%

Draw
18.8%

Pioneros de Cancún
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.8%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

20.9%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neza's form might have worsened.

Pioneros de Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pioneros de Cancún's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pioneros de Cancún, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neza - Pioneros de Cancún Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pioneros de Cancún (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Pioneros de Cancún (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pioneros de Cancún (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).

Neza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pioneros de Cancún has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pioneros de Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pioneros de Cancún is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neza FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza	6:1 ✺
22.02.26	Neza - Montañeses	0:5 ✺
14.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Neza	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Celaya - Neza	6:0 ✺
25.01.26	Neza - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.10.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Neza	1:0

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