Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.4
	2.62	3.55	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.65	2.63
	2.64	3.58	2.54	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.5
	2.76	3.6	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	2.55 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
35.6%

Draw
27%

Rennes
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.2%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	35.7%	57.1%

Nice - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Rennes will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rennes (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Nice (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Rennes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Rennes (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 92. Clauss J. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 26. Bard M. 6. Boudaoui H. 24. Vanhoutte C. 25. Cho M. 8. Sanson M. (C) 20. Louchet T. 10. Diop S.	30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 17. Szymanski S. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 70. Nordin A.
Substitutes
99. Abdul Samed S. 23. Bernardeau G. 32. Boudache K. 4. Dante 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin 33. Mendy A. 55. Ndayishimiye Y.	48. Ait Boudlal A. 10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 65. Mukiele N. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 77. Zabiri Y.
Coaches
Puel C.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),
18', Peprah K. ↓, Dante ↑,
20', 0 - 2, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
36', Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Dante 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
46', Boudaoui H. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
46', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
70', Lepaul E. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
70', Tamari M. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
70', Nordin A. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Blas L. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
80', Louchet T. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
81', Cisse D. 🟨,
86', Gouveia T. 🟨,
88', Nagida M. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Mukiele N. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Injury) Jansson I. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Wahi E. (Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Abdi A. (Inactive) Bard M. (Illness) Pereira E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Injury) Zabiri Y. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.09% Nice: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Rennes - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Paris FC - Nice	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nice - Lorient	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Lyon - Nice	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Nice - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLT
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2
10.05.25	Rennes - Nice	2:0
03.01.25	Nice - Rennes	3:2
13.01.24	Rennes - Nice	2:0
05.11.23	Nice - Rennes	2:0
06.05.23	Nice - Rennes	2:1
02.01.23	Rennes - Nice	2:1

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