The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quevilly 40.8%
Draw 29.9%
Niort 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
29.9%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
31.6%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
46.7%
26.7%
Quevilly - Niort Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Niort will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% โ 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16).
Quevilly has the most likely position - 20 (15%), has project points - 39, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Niort has the most likely position - 20 (10.78%), has project points - 41, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality24, importance42, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Quevilly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Niort is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Quevilly will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.