Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)


	Niort		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.23	3.51	3.15
	2.23	3.51	3.15
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.19	3.22	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.11 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
42.3%

Draw
28%

Orleans
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orleans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Niort - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Orleans will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delecroix P. (G) 22. Bakayoko I. R. 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 21. Bouekou N. 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S. 7. Zemzemi M.	1. Viot V. (G) 28. Agounon B. 11. Berthier G. 5. Camara M. 10. Dabasse A. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 8. Marcel V. 14. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 3. Solvet S. 21. Theresin V.
Substitutes
8. Bentil G. 28. El Hassani N. 20. El Kaddouri B. 38. Keita M. 12. Manga L.	9. Akassou J. 17. Etoughe P. 16. Matimbou O. (G) 6. Niakate A. 7. Soumare Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Marcel V. ↓, Etoughe P. ↑,
64', Dabasse A. 🟨,
72', Zemzemi M. ↓, El Kaddouri B. ↑,
72', Bakayoko I. R. ↓, Bentil G. ↑,
80', Inchaud M. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
80', Renel S. ↓, Manga L. ↑,
87', Manga L. 🟨,
90+2', Bouekou N. ↓, El Hassani N. ↑,
90+4', El Kaddouri B. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 3.

Niort is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orleans is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niort could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Niort will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
25.03.24	Versailles - Niort	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Niort - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
11.03.24	Dijon - Niort	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Niort - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:2 ✺
23.02.24	Épinal - Niort	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWW
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Orleans - Cholet	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Nancy - Orleans	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Orleans - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Châteauroux - Orleans	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Orleans - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.10.23	Orleans - Niort	4:2
French Ligue 2
07.02.20	Niort - Orleans	2:0
30.08.19	Orleans - Niort	0:1
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Orleans - Niort	1:2
French Ligue 2
26.01.19	Orleans - Niort	1:0
17.08.18	Niort - Orleans	1:1
09.02.18	Niort - Orleans	2:3

Niort - Orleans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide