Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Nancy		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.21	3.05	3.3
	2.31	3.15	3.61
	2.23	2.88	3.42	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.26	2.86	3.44	Watch
	2.21	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.88)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	3.35 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
41.5%

Draw
30.9%

Orleans
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

30.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orleans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Nancy - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Orleans will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sourzac M. (G) 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 25. Thiare A. 19. Experience M. 17. Carlier M. 13. Camara B. 11. Sidibe O. 10. Dabasse A. 8. Bouabdelli W. 9. Toure C.	1. Viot V. (G) 22. Halby J. 4. Jean-Pierre M. 8. Giraudon J. 3. Baudry M. 20. Ponti R. 25. Bretelle L. 10. Khous G. 15. Goujon L. 9. El Khoumisti F. 12. Testud K.
Substitutes
26. Cisse S. I. 4. Diaby A. 18. Ebonog S. 22. Evans J. 7. Gomel B.	11. Berthier G. 5. Camara M. 6. D'Arpino M. 14. Do Marcolino F. 28. Sanchez Da Silva F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Experience M. 🟨,
29', Khous G. 🟨,
34', Halby J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Dabasse A. ⚽, Toure C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Testud K. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
55', Toure C. 🟨,
58', Bouabdelli W. 🟨,
68', Goujon L. ↓, Sanchez Da Silva F. ↑,
68', Khous G. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
72', Sidibe O. ↓, Cisse S. I. ↑,
72', Dabasse A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
75', Berthier G. 🟨,
78', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
82', Bretelle L. 🟨,
90+5', Toure C. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
90+11', Ponti R. ↓, D'Arpino M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 1.

Recent matches Nancy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orleans is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Nancy have a series of guest games.

Nancy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nancy won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Aubagne - Nancy	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.24	Bastia - Nancy	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Châteauroux - Nancy	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Épinal - Nancy	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Nancy - Paris 13 Atletico	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Orleans - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.24	Orleans - La Roche VF	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Quevilly - Orleans	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Orleans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.03.24	Nancy - Orleans	1:0
06.10.23	Orleans - Nancy	1:0
20.01.23	Nancy - Orleans	0:1
19.08.22	Orleans - Nancy	0:0
French Ligue 2
26.07.19	Nancy - Orleans	0:0
23.04.19	Nancy - Orleans	1:0
30.11.18	Orleans - Nancy	1:2

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