Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Nissa		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	2.22	3.07	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	3.27 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nissa
42.7%

Draw
29.5%

Gelbison Cilento
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nissa - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Terranova P. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, De Felice F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Rapisarda F. ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Kragl O. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Nissa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gelbison Cilento is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nissa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nissa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nissa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Nissa	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nissa FC
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.04.26	Sambiase - Nissa	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Nissa - Enna	3:4 ✺
12.04.26	Acireale - Nissa	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Nissa - Gela	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sancataldese - Nissa	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.04.26	Enna - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gelbison Cilento - Acireale	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sancataldese - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Gelbison Cilento - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
18.01.26	Nissa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0
21.09.25	Gelbison Cilento - Nissa	1:2

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