Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.66	2.39
	2.45	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
37.1%

Draw
26.2%

Baranovichi
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dovnar N. (G) 10. Dybin V. 23. Fedortsov D. 21. Leshkevich N. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. (C) 77. Shubovich V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A. 69. Yaroshik A.	1. Perov D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 4. Karpenya V. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 19. Nekrashevich D. 29. Penchuk S. 30. Ryabykh N. 3. Vasilenko V.
Substitutes
91. Chuyko A. 99. Chuyko N. 3. Druchik M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 1. Lunikhin E. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 7. Mulkevich D. 47. Starostin V. 11. Yushchenko E.	21. Baranovskiy T. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 9. Galuza D. 2. Kendysh S. 7. Kirkitskiy K. 33. Litskevich M. 18. Lukyanov M. 80. Nakonechny D. 17. Shevchenko M. 5. Zhukovskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Shcherbo V. 🟥,
28', Tkhagalegov A. 🟥,
31', Pampukha P. ↓, Druchik M. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Artyukh M. ⚽, Lebedev F. (A),
40', Monich I. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Penchuk S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Yaroshik A. ↓, Chuyko A. ↑,
57', Vasilenko V. ↓, Litskevich M. ↑,
57', Ryabykh N. ↓, Baranovskiy T. ↑,
64', Dybin V. ↓, Chuyko N. ↑,
64', Sibilev D. ↓, Starostin V. ↑,
68', Lebedev F. 🟨,
69', Penchuk S. ↓, Zhukovskiy A. ↑,
69', Nekrashevich D. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
86', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

Niva Dolbizno is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baranovichi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baranovichi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baranovichi has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Niva Dolbizno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Niva Dolbizno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Niva Dolbizno - Uni X Labs Minsk	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Osipovichi - Niva Dolbizno	0:7 ✺
16.08.25	Orsha - Niva Dolbizno	1:4 ✺
10.08.25	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:3 ✺
03.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWL
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.25	Baranovichi - BATE 2	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Baranovichi - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Baranovichi - Belshina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.10.24	Niva Dolbizno - Baranovichi	0:1
23.06.24	Baranovichi - Niva Dolbizno	1:3
03.06.23	Niva Dolbizno - Baranovichi	4:3

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