Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)

Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Nizhny Novgorod		Sochi

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.2	3.43
	2.38	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.14	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
41.3%

Draw
30.3%

Sochi
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nizhny Novgorod will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 70. Shnaptsev M. 22. Kakkoev N. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Karic S. 29. Ticic L. 6. Sarfo A. 17. Smelov E. 40. Olusegun O. 10. Balboa A. 21. Cephas R.	35. Degtev A. (G) 82. Volkov S. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 3. Soldatenkov A. 28. Magal R. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 20. Vasiljev D. 23. Furtado G. 98. Iljin V. 8. Ignatov M.
Substitutes
23. Castillo J. 19. Ermakov N. 24. Farina E. 27. Grulev V. 77. Ivlev A. 78. Kalinski N. 3. Koledin Y. 88. Lesovoy D. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 8. Maiga M. 69. Sidorenko A. 14. Urvantsev M.	59. Bart R. 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 29. Ezhov R. 9. Fedorov Z. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 4. Litvinov V. 17. Makarchuk A. 16. Mukhin M. 85. Silev D. (G) 7. Zinkovskiy A.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Balboa A. ⚽, Ticic L. (A),
37', Farina E. 🟨,
45', Olusegun O. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ignatov M. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
46', Kravtsov K. ↓, Ezhov R. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Ticic L. ⚽, Smelov E. (A),
67', Iljin V. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
69', Ticic L. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
72', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
74', Balboa A. 🟨,
78', Furtado G. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Kramaric M. ⚽,
86', Balboa A. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
86', Shnaptsev M. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
89', Fedorov Z. 🟨,
89', Kovalenko A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2.

In recent matches, Sochi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.

Pari NN might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	Canceled ✺
Russian Premier League
07.12.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Akron Tolyatti - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LT?WW
- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
02.03.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Sochi - Bars Karakol	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Sochi - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sochi - Surkhon Termez	Canceled ✺
28.01.26	Sochi - Sloga Doboj	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWT?T

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
05.10.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	1:0
Russian Premier League
31.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	1:3
28.05.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2
12.05.24	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	6:1
29.10.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	1:0
22.05.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:0

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