Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Noja		Atlético Albericia

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.7	1.55
	4.73	3.71	1.65
	5.07	3.81	1.59
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.17	3.83	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.32)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noja
18.3%

Draw
24.8%

Atlético Albericia
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.5%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atlético Albericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noja than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Noja - Atlético Albericia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 4, ⚽,
65', 1 - 5, ⚽,
79', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Noja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Albericia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Noja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atletico Albericia	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.02.26	Noja - Vimenor	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Noja - Montañas del Pas	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tropezón - Noja	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Cartes - Noja	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Noja - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTT
- Atlético Albericia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Revilla	5:0 ✺
18.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Colindres	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Castro - Atlético Albericia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Cayón - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.02.22	Noja - Atlético Albericia	1:2

Noja - Atlético Albericia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide