Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Nola		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.65
	1.95	3.31	3.58	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	3.6 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nola
46.6%

Draw
28.2%

Francavilla
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Nola - Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Cabrera I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Nola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Francavilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Francavilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nola is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nola won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Francavilla	6	1	0	5	3:7	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.02.26	Nola - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Heraclea - Nola	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nola - Nardo	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nola - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Afragolese - Nola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLT
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.02.26	Francavilla - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gravina - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francavilla - Martina Calcio	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Paganese - Francavilla	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Francavilla - Barletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
26.10.25	Francavilla - Nola	1:1
13.03.22	Nola - Francavilla	3:1
31.10.21	Francavilla - Nola	1:1
06.01.19	Nola - Francavilla	1:2

Nola - Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide