Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Mahasarakham		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.82	Watch
	1.96	3.43	3.45	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.06	3.82	2.99	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
44.5%

Draw
26.3%

Nongbua Pitchaya
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

25.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Nongbua Pitchaya have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mahasarakham - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Capistrano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 0 - 2, Caio Rodrigues (Penalty Awarded),
86', 0 - 3, Phochai T. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Tumsuwan S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mahasarakham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mahasarakham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
16	Mahasarakham	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
11.01.26	Chiangmai United - Mahasarakham	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Mahasarakham - Rayong FC	2:1 penalties ✺
Thai League 2
14.12.25	Mahasarakham - Rasisalai United	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Mahasarakham - Trat	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWW
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
10.01.26	Kasetsart - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chonburi	1:5 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
Thai League 2
13.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
26.08.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Mahasarakham	2:1

Mahasarakham - Nongbua Pitchaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide