Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 14

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1, True Ball Thai 6


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Chiangrai United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.82	3.94	4.01
	1.76	3.84	3.84	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.75	3.74	3.86	Watch
	1.78	3.7	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	3.77 ↑ (3.63)	3.79 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
51.6%

Draw
24.2%

Chiangrai United
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

21.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nongbua Pitchaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiangrai United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Yen-Arrom S. (G) 18. Jujeen A. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 88. Hantes A. 9. Eisa A. 25. Waenlor A. 8. Park Jong-Woo 30. Sriwichai W. 11. Conrado 16. Songma J.	1. Worawong A. (G) 17. Verzura G. 3. Srisai T. 5. Lee Jung-Moon 30. Singmui S. 88. Stewart H. 8. Ralph 7. Suvannaseat S. 11. Iury C. 9. Chitchanok 20. Jaihan T.
Substitutes
99. Capistrano J. 10. Chawin S. 29. Fomthaisong A. 23. Haber M. 15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 54. Jannawan P. 7. Lukthong N. 14. Phochai T. 26. Sathaporn W. 69. Seekaewnit P. 17. Songma J. 20. Tanee W.	99. Kannoo S. 29. Meethoum A. 4. Phanichakul P. 27. Phumchat A. 55. Pimoytha T. 40. Prachuabmon C. 50. Singthong O. 13. Soimalai P. 19. Udom K. (G) 77. Win N. T. 15. Yaemsaen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Waenlor A. 🟨,
42', Waenlor A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Verzura G. 🟨,
54', Verzura G. ↓, Meethoum A. ↑,
57', Jaihan T. ↓, Singthong O. ↑,
58', Chitchanok ↓, Pimoytha T. ↑,
78', Eisa A. ↓, Haber M. ↑,
78', Park Jong-Woo 🟨,
82', Srisai T. ↓, Yaemsaen S. ↑,
83', Iury C. ↓, Kannoo S. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Yaemsaen S. ⚽,
90', Jujeen A. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
90', Conrado ↓, Capistrano J. ↑,
90+2', Songma J. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
90+2', Sriwichai W. ↓, Chawin S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Stewart H. ⚽, Singthong O. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chiangrai United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nongbua Pitchaya is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
08.11.24	Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya	5:2 ✺
03.11.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Khonkaen United	6:1 ✺
25.10.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi	5:3 ✺
21.10.24	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Bangkok United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLL
- Chiangrai United
Thai League 1
09.11.24	Chiangrai United - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Rayong FC - Chiangrai United	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Sisaket United - Chiangrai United	1:3 ✺
Thai League 1
27.10.24	Chiangrai United - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ratchaburi - Chiangrai United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
28.01.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United	1:2
28.08.22	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:0
20.02.22	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
09.10.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United	1:2

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