Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Ratchaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.98	Watch
	3.72	3.55	2.04
	3.59	3.38	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.85
	3.54	3.48	1.89	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.76)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
26.4%

Draw
26.6%

Ratchaburi
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.9%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nongbua Pitchaya will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 18. Jujeen A. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 88. Hantes A. 16. Songma J. 25. Waenlor A. 8. Park Jong-Woo 30. Sriwichai W. 9. Eisa A. 11. Conrado	99. Pathomakkakul K. (C) 27. Curran J. 15. Promrak A. 2. Mutombo G. 5. Sorada A. 6. Tana 37. Srisuwan K. 16. Jakkuprasat S. 7. Tanaka T. 25. Depres C. 88. Poomkeaw C.
Substitutes
99. Capistrano J. 10. Chawin S. 29. Fomthaisong A. 23. Haber M. 54. Jannawan P. 7. Lukthong N. 6. Samansin W. 26. Sathaporn W. 69. Seekaewnit P. 17. Songma J. 20. Tanee W. 83. Yen-Arrom S. (G)	29. Chiamudom K. 10. Kaewprom J. 17. Kasonsumol S. 9. Kim Ji-Min 11. Mara M. 39. Maunchaingam C. (G) 24. Namwech W. 19. Peenagatapho S. 23. Sangkasopha P. 21. Thongsaengphrao J.
Coaches
Yothee S.	Maiwilai S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Waenlor A. ⚽, Conrado (A),
25', Sorada A. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Eisa A. (Pen),
30', Marom W. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
34', 3 - 0, Songma J. ⚽, Conrado (A),
36', Sriwichai W. 🟨,
45+2', 4 - 0, Conrado ⚽, Eisa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Curran J. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,
46', Tanaka T. ↓, Kim Ji-Min ↑,
46', Tana ↓, Mara M. ↑,
51', 4 - 1, Depres C. ⚽, Kim Ji-Min (A),
52', Park Jong-Woo 🟨,
57', Sathaporn W. 🟨,
61', Eisa A. ↓, Haber M. ↑,
61', Park Jong-Woo ↓, Lukthong N. ↑,
61', Sorada A. ↓, Chiamudom K. ↑,
61', 5 - 1, Haber M. ⚽, Songma J. (A),
64', Jujeen A. 🟨,
70', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
71', 5 - 2, Depres C. (Pen),
73', Jamsuwan K. 🟨,
74', Kim Ji-Min 🟨,
78', Waenlor A. ↓, Tanee W. ↑,
78', Conrado ↓, Capistrano J. ↑,
81', Songma J. 🟥,
85', Promrak A. 🟨,
85', Jakkuprasat S. ↓, Sangkasopha P. ↑,
90+2', Sangkasopha P. 🟨,
90+6', 5 - 3, Kim Ji-Min (Pen),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).

Nongbua Pitchaya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ratchaburi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ratchaburi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
21.10.24	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Bangkok United	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Uthai Thani	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWT
- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
20.10.24	Ratchaburi - Chiangrai United	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ratchaburi - Rayong FC	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Bangkok United - Ratchaburi	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Ratchaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	4:0 ✺
15.09.24	Lamphun Warriors - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
05.02.23	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
Thai League Cup
25.01.23	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:0
Thai League 1
02.09.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi	0:2
23.04.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi	1:1
21.11.21	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:2

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