Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Hapoel Herzliya

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.35	2.28
	2.67	3.32	2.23
	2.68	3.61	2.26	Watch
	2.76	3.38	2.26
	2.66	3.33	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.77)	3.4 ↓ (3.8)	2.26 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
33.5%

Draw
26.6%

Hapoel Herzliya
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordia Jerusalem's performance.

Hapoel Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Herzliya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordia Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Herzliya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Motro I. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Kaplan E. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Elmaliach L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Nordia Jerusalem is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Herzliya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nordia Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hapoel Herzliya is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordia Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nordia Jerusalem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Beitar Yavne	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:3 ✺
01.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Beitar Yavne	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
18.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1
17.09.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya	0:3
16.02.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya	2:1
08.09.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0
Club Friendly
16.08.19	Hapoel Herzliya - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3

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