Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Nordsjælland		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.3	2.37
	2.85	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.96	3.45	2.5
	3.04	3.52	2.38
	2.62	3.5	2.45
	2.8	3.48	2.4
	2.75	3.55	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.46)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
33.6%

Draw
27.4%

Fenerbahçe
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Nordsjælland - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Nordsjælland will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eriksson C. (G) 19. Hey L. 4. Hansen K. (C) 39. Nagalo A. 5. Frese M. 10. Diomande M. 6. Tverskov J. 27. Svensson D. 23. Villadsen O. 17. Rasmussen C. 8. Schjelderup A.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 95. Akcicek Y. 24. Oosterwolde J. 11. Kent R. 27. Crespo M. 5. Yuksek I. 53. Szymanski S. 20. Under C. 23. Batshuayi M. 10. Tadic D. (C)
Substitutes
12. Ascone R. 42. Barslund K. 43. Egeli S. W. 31. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 24. Hogsberg L. 7. Ingvartsen M. 30. Jensen-Abbew J. 15. Marxen E. 9. Nygren B. 14. Osman I. 40. Schandorf C. H. W. 21. Sertdemir Z.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 29. Aydin A. N. 9. Dzeko E. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 94. Fedai C. 49. Imre M. 17. Kahveci I. C. 92. Karayazi E. 15. King J. 22. Nayir U.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Kartal I.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Nordsjælland: Antman O. (Muscle Injury) Hansen M. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Djiku A. (Broken Leg) Lincoln (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S. (Ankle Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nordsjælland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
26.11.23	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Midtjylland - Nordsjælland	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Nordsjælland - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
05.11.23	Nordsjælland - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
01.11.23	Viborg - Nordsjælland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
26.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Adana Demirspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
04.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Pendikspor - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Fenerbahçe - Nordsjælland	3:1

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