Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nordsjælland		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	1.50	5.00	4.50
	1.46	4.75	5.00
	1.50	4.50	4.90	Watch
	1.51	4.83	5.46
	1.53	4.82	5.18	Watch
	1.45	4.70	5.35
	1.54	4.77	5.43	Watch
	1.52	4.70	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.05)	4.76 ↑ (3.28)	5.09 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
62.1%

Draw
19.6%

St. Gallen
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.

St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Gallen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Gallen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Nordsjælland - St. Gallen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - St. Gallen (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). St. Gallen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ankersen P. 3. Salquist T. (C) 15. Acquah S. 23. Norheim R. 18. Janssen J. 8. Rojkjaer N. 25. Lahteenmaki J. 37. Sadio L. 14. Adel I. 10. Amoako P.	1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 74. Ruiz J. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 10. Daschner L. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. (C) 20. Frokaj L. 64. Stevanovic M. 14. Balde A. 9. Hunziker A.
Substitutes
29. Berthelsen V. 6. Brink M. 22. Eriksson C. (G) 32. Gustafsen V. 11. Lind A. 4. Markmann N. 17. Nene L. 40. Rasmussen H. 35. Rutkjaer V. 31. Sondenbroe A. (G) 42. Tuka M. 28. Walker M.	31. Besio D. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 21. Efekele M. 23. Fazliji B. 68. Heydari M. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 63. Konietzke C. 47. Owusu E. 25. Watkowiak L. (G) 7. Witzig C.
Coaches
Olsen J.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rojkjaer N. ⚽, Adel I. (A),
40', Frokaj L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frokaj L. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
60', Amoako P. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
61', Adel I. ↓, Rasmussen H. ↑,
66', Daschner L. 🟨,
66', Hunziker A. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
67', Vandermersch H. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
71', Sadio L. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
71', Rojkjaer N. ↓, Brink M. ↑,
76', Daschner L. ↓, Fazliji B. ↑,
79', Gortler L. 🟨,
81', Balde A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Nordsjælland is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

St. Gallen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

St. Gallen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nordsjælland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nordsjælland is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Nordsjælland will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Nordsjaelland: 2.24%

Last Results with these Odds

St. Gallen - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Nordsjælland - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
06.08.26	Valur - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
02.08.26	Nordsjælland - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nordsjælland - GAIS	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- FC St. Gallen
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	St. Gallen - Sheriff Tiraspol	5:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - St. Gallen	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.08.26	Vaduz - St. Gallen	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Benfica - St. Gallen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWL

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