Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Valur		Nordsjælland

	1	X	2
	9.50	6.50	1.20	Watch
	9.75	6.50	1.21
	11.50	6.40	1.20	Watch
	11.44	6.57	1.21
	11.65	6.4	1.22	Watch
	7.30	6.40	1.24
	13.90	7.26	1.20	Watch
	10.00	6.60	1.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.63 ↑ (4.4)	6.58 ↑ (3.69)	1.21 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
8.8%

Draw
14.2%

Nordsjælland
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.4%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.4%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nordsjælland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nordsjælland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Valur - Nordsjælland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.75 - Valur (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 22. Heimisson B. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 4. Nakkim M. 24. Veldman M. 8. Jonsson J. 14. Skoglund A. 28. Fridjonsson S. 12. Haraldsson T. 17. Heimisson L. 19. Gardarson D.	13. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ankersen P. 3. Salquist T. (C) 15. Acquah S. 23. Norheim R. 18. Janssen J. 47. Heyde M. 25. Lahteenmaki J. 40. Rasmussen H. 29. Berthelsen V. 14. Adel I.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 6. Antonsson B. 5. Arnarsson K. 3. Gunnarsson H. 21. Palsson J. 9. Pedersen P. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 11. Stole I. 29. Veseli S.	10. Amoako P. 6. Brink M. 32. Gustafsen V. 39. Johannesson D. 48. Kristoffersen C. (G) 45. Markmann N. 17. Nene L. 8. Rojkjaer N. 37. Sadio L. 31. Sondenbroe A. (G) 28. Walker M.
Coaches
Brazell C.	Olsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Berthelsen V. ⚽, Adel I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Heyde M. ↓, Brink M. ↑,
66', Acquah S. ↓, Rojkjaer N. ↑,
66', Berthelsen V. ↓, Amoako P. ↑,
67', Gardarson D. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
67', Heimisson B. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Rojkjaer N. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Skoglund A. ↓, Antonsson B. ↑,
79', Jonsson J. ↓, Pedersen P. ↑,
79', Heimisson L. ↓, Arnarsson K. ↑,
83', Haraldsson T. 🟨,
83', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Markmann N. ↑,
83', Adel I. ↓, Nene L. ↑,
88', Janssen J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Valur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nordsjælland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nordsjælland is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Nordsjaelland: 2.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Valur	2:2 ✺
23.07.26	Valur - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.07.26	Valur - Fram	2:3 ✺
12.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLL
- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
02.08.26	Nordsjælland - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nordsjælland - GAIS	6:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
26.07.26	Horsens - Nordsjælland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	GAIS - Nordsjælland	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Nordsjælland - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWTLL

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