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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14.2%
Draw 24.4%
CSKA Sofia 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.1%
24.1%
61.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.7%
23.3%
63.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
CSKA Sofia will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 5. Pavlov T. 13. Lucas Ryan 4. Chindris A. 2. Cova A. 12. Ali E. 22. Ivanov I. 19. Burban J. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 31. Mrankov D. 29. Longville C.
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 14. Ivanov T. (C) 5. Gbamin J. 4. Almeida D. 2. Pastor 99. Eto'o J. 7. Ebong M. 8. Sensi S. 17. Martino A. 10. Zwarts J. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
3. Ali D. 33. Dzhelepov Y. 17. Fase A. 26. Kirashki D. 99. Lamy J. 11. Leijten R. 94. Matheus Brito 44. Petrovic M. 6. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
11. Brahimi M. 37. Cotter B. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 67. Itu C. 6. Jordao B. 38. Leo Pereira 30. Panayotov P. 32. Rodriguez F. 94. Solet I. 19. Yordanov A.
Coaches
Kosic D.
Morales D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Umarbaev P. ⚽, Burban J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Pittas I. ⚽, Pastor (A),
43', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mrankov D. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
67', Burban J. 🟨,
68', Umarbaev P. 🟨,
74', Ivanov T. ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
75', Longville C. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
75', Ali E. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
78', Umarbaev P. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
83', Pastor ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
85', Cotter B. 🟨,
88', Eto'o J. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
90+3', Ebong M. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Lokomotiv Plovdiv (last 5 matches: 1 win).
CSKA Sofia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
CSKA Sofia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
CSKA Sofia holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Plovdiv against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Bulgaria
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Milosavljevic B. (G) 
Pavlov T. 
Lucas Ryan 
Chindris A. 
Cova A. 
Burban J. 
Umarbaev P. (C) 
Longville C. 
Lapoukhov F. (G) 
Almeida D. 
Eto'o J. 
Sensi S. 
Martino A. 
Zwarts J. 
Pittas I. 
Petrovic M. 
Trdan M. 
Zovko P. (G) 
Cotter B. 
Solet I. 
