Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		GAIS

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	3.25	3.7	2.15	Watch
	3.24	3.72	2.21
	3.13	3.59	2.21	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.3
	3.24	3.65	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.7	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.5)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.19 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
30.5%

Draw
26.2%

GAIS
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norrköping's form might have worsened.

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norrköping, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Norrköping - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 4 - 40%). GAIS will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 1 - 33.3%). GAIS (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Norrköping (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 3 - 60%). GAIS (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 14. Kalley Y. 19. Watson M. 4. Sogaard A. 3. Baggesen M. 11. Lushaku I. 9. Traustason A. (C) 7. Fransson A. 15. Jorgensen S. 22. Prica T. 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 12. Frej R. 4. Agren O. 5. Wendin R. 8. Milovanovic W. 18. Holmen K. 10. Boudri A. 9. Lundgren G. 19. Diabate I. 16. Niklasson R.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 33. Bergman W. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 25. Jansson K. 10. Karlsson D.M. 30. Krantz T. (G) 5. Nyman C. 36. Rawufu M.	11. Becirovic E. 24. Beckman F. 22. Cardaklija A. 2. de Brienne M. 14. Gustafsson F. 21. Henriksson A. 32. Ibrahim H. 25. Lindberg J. 13. Sims K. (G)
Coaches
Falk M.	Holmberg F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Diabate I. ⚽, Lundgren G. (A),
30', Kalley Y. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
42', Niklasson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Boudri A. 🟨,
62', Lushaku I. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
68', Niklasson R. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
74', Holmen K. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
74', Milovanovic W. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
74', Baggesen M. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
74', Jorgensen S. ↓, Nyman C. ↑,
75', Traustason A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Ibrahim H. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Becirovic E. ⚽, Diabate I. (A),
83', Agren O. 🟨,
84', Wendin R. ↓, de Brienne M. ↑,
84', Diabate I. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
88', Jansson K. 🟨,
90', Henriksson A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury) Neffati M. (Yellow Cards) Peprah K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in GAIS: Aberg J. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.05.25	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Sirius - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLTL
- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.25	GAIS - Sirius	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Öster - GAIS	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Halmstad - GAIS	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	GAIS - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
02.03.25	GAIS - Norrköping	0:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.08.24	GAIS - Norrköping	0:1
14.04.24	Norrköping - GAIS	1:0
Svenska Cupen
19.02.23	GAIS - Norrköping	0:1
01.03.14	Norrköping - GAIS	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.10.12	Norrköping - GAIS	7:2
22.04.12	GAIS - Norrköping	2:0

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