Match Info

Superettan - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday

Location: Norrkopings Idrottspark (Norrköping)

Referee: Persson M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.40	3.20
	2.02	3.55	3.25
	2.13	3.65	3.52
	2.16	3.5	3.17	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.20
	2.00	3.58	3.46	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)	3.49 ↓ (3.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
45.5%

Draw
26.5%

Varbergs BoIS
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	5.9%	35.3%

Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Varberg will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrköping: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krantz T. (G) 38. Sandberg T. 24. Eriksson A. 23. Opsahl A. 3. Falth V. O. 34. Sernelius N. 6. Christiansson V. 8. Nelson R. 9. Prica T. 5. Nyman C. (C) 11. Jemal E.	1. Ekman O. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 12. Nioule S. 9. Bitiqi A. 19. Nilsson J.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 20. Bronner A. 25. Dagerstal F. 7. Fransson A. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 19. Lif L. 45. Mattsson A. (G) 15. Seka K. 4. Weber J.	7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 24. Bryneus O. 15. Johansson N. 18. Lindner J. 6. Silverholt O. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Abdulic E.	Salwen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nyman C. ⚽, Sernelius N. (A),
28', Sadiku E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Bitiqi A. ↓, Borgelin S. ↑,
62', Nilsson J. ↓, Arlig W. ↑,
64', Prica T. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
65', Christiansson V. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
71', Bronner A. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Nelson R. ⚽, Sandberg T. (A),
76', Winbo A. ↓, Johansson N. ↑,
76', Nioule S. ↓, Silverholt O. ↑,
76', Dahlstrom N. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
80', Nelson R. ↓, Holst-Larsen F. ↑,
80', Eriksson A. ↓, Dagerstal F. ↑,
82', Hellman E. 🟨,
85', Nyman C. ↓, Seka K. ↑,
87', Jemal E. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 3.

Norrköping is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varberg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norrköping might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Norrkoping: 93.77% Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Norrkoping	25	17	4	4	48:16	32	55
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Superettan
09.06.26	Oddevold - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Helsingborg - Norrköping	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Norrköping - Öster	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Brage - Norrköping	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Norrköping - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTT
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
10.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Ljungskile - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
19.05.26	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
06.11.23	Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS	4:3
13.05.23	Varbergs BoIS - Norrköping	1:3
28.08.22	Varbergs BoIS - Norrköping	1:1
03.04.22	Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS	0:1
Svenska Cupen
05.03.22	Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.09.21	Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
17.05.21	Varbergs BoIS - Norrköping	2:1

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