The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 56.1%
Draw 22.9%
North Texas 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
22.6%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
21.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Minnesota United 2 - North Texas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 95. Vigilante S. 31. Dang N. 59. Farris J. 61. Bernard J. 35. Tarnue P. 90. Pechota L. 14. Michel K. 36. Friedman J. 22. Caldeira M. (C) 17. Randell D.
57. Montoya N. (G) 29. Newman E. 26. Starnes S. (C) 22. Alvaro Augusto 24. Torquato J. 4. Charles I. 15. Louis R. 10. Nys E. 18. Ospina T. 50. Garcia D. 11. James N.
Substitutes
75. Cruz H. 50. Harwood M. 92. Kabia A. 70. Moua N. 32. Putt T. 64. Saidi I. 60. Zeruhn K. (G)
36. Baran D. 12. Biggar J. 20. Contreras J. 13. Dymora E. (G) 25. Gibson J. 14. Goncalves L. 19. Luccin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Ospina T. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Newman E. ⚽, Garcia D. (A),
36', Starnes S. ↓, Goncalves L. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Louis R. ⚽, Nys E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bernard J. ↓, Kabia A. ↑,
61', Friedman J. ↓, Harwood M. ↑,
68', Ospina T. 🟨,
68', Charles I. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
71', Dang N. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', Pechota L. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
78', Michel K. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
81', Louis R. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
82', James N. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
89', Tarnue P. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 1.
Minnesota 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
North Texas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Minnesota 2 is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Minnesota 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
World
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Rizvanovich K. (G) 
Tarnue P. 
Michel K. 
Caldeira M. (C) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Charles I. 
Louis R. 
Nys E. 
James N. 
Kabia A. 
Putt T. 
Baran D. 
Contreras J. 
Luccin M. 
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