Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 5

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Capital TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Northern Ireland		Belarus

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	8.5
	1.44	3.9	7.75
	1.45	4	8.4
	1.46	3.99	9.51
	1.45	4	7.86	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7.5
	1.5	4.12	9.35	Watch
	1.45	4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)	3.98 ↑ (3.75)	8.41 ↑ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: fubo Sports Network 3

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Current Win Probability

Northern Ireland
65%

Draw
23.8%

Belarus
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Belarus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	6.8%	9.1%

Northern Ireland - Belarus Predictions

Users Predictions: Northern Ireland will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Charles P. (G) Sheffield Wed 5. Hume T. Sunderland 4. Ballard D. Sunderland 22. Brown C. Oxford Utd 2. Bradley C. Liverpool 16. McCann A. Preston 19. Charles S. (C) Sheffield Wed 20. Spencer B. Huddersfield 14. Price I. St. Liege 10. Charles D. Bolton 11. Smyth P. QPR	16. Lapoukhov F. (G) Din. Minsk 4. Martynovich A. (C) Kairat Almaty 6. Politevich S. Din. Minsk 3. Zabelin P. Saratov 22. Pigas V. Din. Minsk 14. Yablonskiy E. Asteras Tripolis 8. Selyava A. Din. Minsk 2. Pechenin K. Krylya Sovetov Samara 10. Gromyko V. Kairat Almaty 11. Barkovsky G. Dynamo Brest 7. Shikavka Y. Korona Kielce
Substitutes
3. Balmer K. Motherwell 17. Bonis L. Den Haag 7. Galbraith E. Leyton Orient 13. Lyons B. Kilmarnock 21. Magennis J. Exeter 8. Marshall C. Huddersfield 18. McConville R. 1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) Birmingham 9. Reid J. Stevenage 6. Saville G. Millwall 12. Southwood L. (G) Bolton 15. Thompson J. Stoke City	23. Antilevskiy D. Hapoel Haifa 15. Demchenko N. Din. Minsk 9. Ebong M. FC Astana 13. Karpovich S. Neman 21. Klimovich V. DVTK 19. Kovalev Y. Baltika 18. Parkhomenko E. Neman 12. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) Pakhtakor 1. Plotnikov M. (G) Zhodino 5. Polyakov D. Din. Minsk 17. Prishchepa D. R. Volgograd 20. Volkov Z. Arsenal Tula
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Ferrer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽, Charles S. (A),
59', Pechenin K. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Charles D. (Pen),
63', Barkovsky G. ↓, Antilevskiy D. ↑,
63', Selyava A. ↓, Ebong M. ↑,
63', Yablonskiy E. ↓, Klimovich V. ↑,
68', Gromyko V. 🟨,
72', Gromyko V. ↓, Demchenko N. ↑,
72', Pechenin K. ↓, Prishchepa D. ↑,
76', Ballard D. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
76', Smyth P. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
76', Charles D. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
76', Antilevskiy D. 🟨,
86', Price I. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
88', Brown C. 🟨,
90', Bradley C. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,

Preview

In this match Northern Ireland is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Northern Ireland won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League
15.10.24	Northern Ireland - Bulgaria	5:0 ✺
12.10.24	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bulgaria - Northern Ireland	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Northern Ireland - Andorra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWW
- Belarus
UEFA Nations League
15.10.24	Belarus - Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Luxembourg - Belarus	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Belarus - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Belarus - Israel	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:0
UEFA Euro
11.06.19	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:1
24.03.19	Northern Ireland - Belarus	2:1
Friendly
27.05.16	Northern Ireland - Belarus	3:0

Northern Ireland - Belarus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide