Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 11Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sammaurese |
|
Notaresco |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.1 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.15 |
3.14 |
1.96 |
|
 |
2.43 |
3.20 |
2.71 |
 Watch |
 |
3.31 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.2 |
2.55 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.38) |
3.15
(3.15) |
2.27 ↓
(2.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sammaurese
31% | Draw
28.9% | Notaresco
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sammaurese's form might have worsened.Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notaresco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sammaurese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notaresco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sammaurese - Notaresco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).Sammaurese has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Notaresco is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that Notaresco will win today's game, with odds of 2.6.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sammaurese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Sammaurese - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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