Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Notaresco		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.92	2.12
	3.25	2.98	2.13
	3.08	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.15
	3.33	3.02	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.14)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notaresco
27.8%

Draw
30.2%

Ostia Mare
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Notaresco - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Infantino S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, El Hadj C. G. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Spinosa M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Notaresco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ostia Mare is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostia Mare could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notaresco Calcio	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Notaresco - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.23%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.04.26	L Aquila - Notaresco	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Teramo - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Notaresco - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sora - Notaresco	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Notaresco - Fossombrone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.04.26	Ostia Mare - Chieti	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sammaurese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Teramo - Ostia Mare	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Ostia Mare - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ostia Mare - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0

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