Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Sora		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	2.98
	2.31	3.07	2.99	Watch
	2.31	3	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	3.02 ↓ (3.03)	2.99 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sora
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Notaresco
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Sora - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sora won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notaresco Calcio	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sora - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD GC Sora
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	L Aquila - Sora	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	Sora - Teramo	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sammaurese - Sora	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sora - Ostia Mare	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fossombrone - Sora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTTTT
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Notaresco - Fossombrone	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Maceratese - Notaresco	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Chieti - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Notaresco - Giulianova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	Notaresco - Sora	2:0
12.01.25	Notaresco - Sora	0:0
15.09.24	Sora - Notaresco	1:1

Sora - Notaresco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide