Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ostia Mare		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.75
	1.53	3.75	5.53
	1.63	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)	4.93 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
57.7%

Draw
23.9%

Notaresco
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ostia Mare's performance.

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notaresco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Ostia Mare - Notaresco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostia Mare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Ostia Mare is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Notaresco's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Notaresco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Notaresco has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ostia Mare is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ostia Mare will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ostia Mare - Teramo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Castelfidardo - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.11.25	Notaresco - L Aquila	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Notaresco - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Notaresco - Teramo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Sammaurese - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Notaresco - Sora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Livorno - Ostia Mare	✺

Ostia Mare - Notaresco