Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3
	2.06	3.48	3.36
	2.08	3.48	3.3
	2.15	3.5	2.62
	2.03	3.38	3.26
	1.99	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	3.43 ↓ (3.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
44.4%

Draw
26.6%

Ørn-Horten
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

22.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ørn-Horten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+5%)

Notodden - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Midtlyng T. (G) 9. Frithzell M. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 17. Holthe J. 5. Jabari S. R. M. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 20. Sissoko D. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.	1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 3. Riise N. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.
Substitutes
12. Bergesen J. (G) 37. Bratvold S. 15. Haug H. 16. Ryste A. 10. Skjold A. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T.	25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 14. Krawiec A. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 26. Sorensen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Holthe J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Schie P. ⚽,
31', Hammerli J. 🟨,
42', Kyvik L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Schie P. ↓, Krawiec A. ↑,
68', Holthe J. ↓, Ryste A. ↑,
68', Ulsnes J. ↓, Skjold A. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Kadriu A. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Frithzell M. ⚽,
79', Riise N. ↓, Hamde D. ↑,
80', Frithzell M. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
88', Helling G. ↓, Skulstad-Hansen E. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notodden won 3.

Notodden is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Notodden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Notodden won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Notodden won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.05.24	Kvik Halden - Notodden	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	Notodden - Flekkerøy	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Notodden - Lysekloster	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Eik-Tønsberg	3:2 ✺
13.05.24	Viking 2 - Ørn-Horten	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brann 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.10.23	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	4:0
10.04.23	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	4:0
16.07.22	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:0
07.05.22	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	1:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
24.09.16	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	2:4
05.06.16	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	7:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.09.15	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	2:3

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