Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Pors

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.7	3.65	4.6
	1.58	3.89	5.49
	1.67	3.74	5.04
	1.65	3.62	4.62
	1.7	3.65	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	4.58 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
54.2%

Draw
25.4%

Pors
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notodden's performance.

Pors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pors than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Notodden - Pors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notodden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Pors (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notodden (votes: 1 - 50%). Pors (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Midtlyng T. (G) 4. Hammerli J. (C) 17. Holthe J. 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 16. Ryste A. 10. Singh K. 9. Sissoko D. 3. Ullenes P.	1. Hagen P. (G) 6. Dahlby J. 5. Garstad T. 17. Gisa E. 23. Giske A. 9. Johnsen O. 10. Mladenovic S. (C) 3. Ostby S. 29. Rosvik P. 4. Svarteberg K. 2. Thorsen S.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 20. Bjerkan B. 27. Hagen N. 15. Haug H. 21. Nesland J. 31. Straand S. (G) 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. 7. Ulsnes J.	55. Bjornhaug Remy A. 77. Dankwah C. 16. Evensen B. 26. Henriksrud O. 20. Kachi 7. Meen T. 18. Namlos V. 11. Salamov T. 24. Vassend S. E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Ostby S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Holthe J. 🟨,
60', Hammerli J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Ullenes P. ⚽,
74', Thorsen S. ↓, Namlos V. ↑,
74', Mladenovic S. ↓, Kachi ↑,
78', Holthe J. ↓, Ulsnes J. ↑,
79', Jorgensen S. ↓, Bjerkan B. ↑,
83', Rosvik P. ↓, Henriksrud O. ↑,
86', Ullenes P. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
87', Jorgensen S. ↓, Nesland J. ↑,
90', Johnsen O. ↓, Salamov T. ↑,
90+4', Gisa E. ↓, Evensen B. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Sissoko D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 5.

In recent matches, Notodden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Notodden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Notodden might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 3.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Notodden won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 3.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.04.25	Sotra - Notodden	1:3 ✺
21.04.25	Notodden - Arendal	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Notodden - Stabæk	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTLTW
- Pors Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.04.25	Pors - Lysekloster	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Pors - Start	3:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.25	Sandnes Ulf - Pors	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Hønefoss - Pors	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.25	Pors - Træff	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.25	Notodden - Pors	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Pors - Notodden	0:2
Club Friendly
18.02.22	Notodden - Pors	5:1
22.02.19	Notodden - Pors	6:0
Norwegian NM Cup
18.04.18	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ET
Club Friendly
26.02.17	Notodden - Pors	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
27.08.16	Notodden - Pors	5:2

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