Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Notodden		Viking 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.75
	2.15	3.75	2.75
	2.2	4.08	2.7
	2.12	4.09	2.69	Watch
	2	3.9	2.7
	2.05	3.98	2.8
	2.15	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.55)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
43.3%

Draw
23.5%

Viking 2
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

24.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

23.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notodden's performance.

Viking 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viking 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notodden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Notodden - Viking 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Notodden will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Midtlyng T. (G) 37. Bratvold S. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 5. Jabari S. R. M. 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. 16. Ryste A. 10. Skjold A. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.	1. Bergsvik A. (G) 24. Auklend V. 4. Botnen F. 21. Fuglestad N. 11. Galta J. 14. Haland T. 20. Hansen J. 9. Larsen F. 3. Lillehammer F. (C) 10. Moi T. 8. Visted O.
Substitutes
12. Bergesen J. (G) 15. Haug H. 17. Holthe J. 21. Nesland J. 25. Ronningen S. 20. Sissoko D. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. 26. Tobiassen B.	16. Fiksdal B. 13. Fossa S. (G) 12. Molund V. 17. Steinsnes-Asbo F. 2. Tveit A. 7. Tveiten A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Skjold A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Larsen S. ↓, Telle T. ↑,
61', Bratvold S. ↓, Sissoko D. ↑,
64', Hansen J. 🟨,
64', Larsen F. ↓, Tveiten A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Botnen F. ⚽,
72', Jabari S. R. M. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
72', Ulsnes J. ↓, Holthe J. ↑,
76', Lillehammer F. 🟥,
78', Fuglestad N. ↓, Tveit A. ↑,
82', Moi T. 🟨,
86', Galta J. ↓, Steinsnes-Asbo F. ↑,
86', Haland T. ↓, Molund V. ↑,
90', Ullenes P. 🟨,
90+7', Bergsvik A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).

Recent matches Notodden is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viking 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Notodden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.08.24	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Notodden - Arendal	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Notodden - Jerv	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Brann 2 - Notodden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLWLW
- Viking 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.08.24	Viking 2 - Hødd	1:3 ✺
14.07.24	Jerv - Viking 2	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Viking 2 - Vard Haugesund	1:3 ✺
01.07.24	Hødd - Viking 2	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Viking 2 - Kvik Halden	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Viking 2 - Notodden	2:3

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