Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Varden Amfi (Bergen)


	Brann 2		Notodden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	4.85	4.85
	1.5	5.03	5.24
	1.73	4.06	4.00	Watch
	1.58	4.74	4.43
	2.1	3.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.1)	4.51 ↑ (3.85)	4.24 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann 2
56.6%

Draw
21.1%

Notodden
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

22.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann 2's performance.

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notodden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann 2 than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brann 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notodden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Brann 2 - Notodden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Brann 2 (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brann 2 will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann 2 (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bramel T. (G) 4. Boakye N. 10. Finne B. 21. Haga M. 23. Platzer S. 18. Riihilahti D. 3. Sekkingstad M. 6. Sery Larsen J. 19. Steinegger D. 2. Tveit J. 14. Vindenes S. (C)	1. Klausen P. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 27. Kaszuba A. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 21. Nesland J. 10. Singh K. 99. Sorum C. 19. Svarstad S.
Substitutes
25. Aga S. S. 7. Bortveit T. 27. Gjesdahl T. 15. Grimeland E. 20. Hosoy N. K. 22. Knudsen K. 1. Stromo E. (G) 9. Tvedt K. 5. Valland J.	12. Bergesen J. (G) 2. Jacobsen N. 14. Kristoffersen F. 22. Nordbo T. 29. Singh B. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Sorum C. ⚽,
26', Kyvik L. 🟨,
31', Larsen S. 🟨,
40', Sekkingstad M. 🟨,
44', Steinegger D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Valland J. ↑,
49', Valland J. 🟨,
57', Sorum C. ↓, Singh B. ↑,
57', Nesland J. ↓, Ulsnes J. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Haga M. ⚽,
70', Svarstad S. ↓, Kristoffersen F. ↑,
70', Larsen S. ↓, Jacobsen N. ↑,
73', Hammerli J. ↓, Ullenes P. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Haga M. ⚽,
79', Steinegger D. ↓, Hosoy N. K. ↑,
83', Singh B. 🟨,
89', Finne B. ↓, Tvedt K. ↑,
90+5', Riihilahti D. ↓, Grimeland E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Notodden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brann 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brann 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brann 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.09.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Brann 2	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Brann 2 - Sandviken	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Brann 2	5:0 ✺
06.09.25	Brann 2 - Lysekloster	0:4 ✺
31.08.25	Brattvåg - Brann 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLL
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.09.25	Notodden - Brattvåg	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Jerv - Notodden	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Notodden - Sotra	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Flekkerøy - Notodden	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Notodden - Sandviken	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.25	Notodden - Brann 2	3:0
06.10.24	Notodden - Brann 2	2:1
22.06.24	Brann 2 - Notodden	1:2

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