The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 42.6%
Draw 28.3%
Southampton 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.9%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
24.9%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nottingham Forest - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Batty E. (G) 24. Brown C. 4. Brougham G. (C) 5. Mustaki C. 12. Hed E. 31. Murphy A. 33. Boye-Hlorkah C. 17. Thomas F. 13. Rowe R. 27. Kiernan L. 19. Omewa J.
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 3. Mott M. 6. Bourne T. 11. Nicoll A. 66. Palmer A. 14. Bashford M. 19. Simpson J. 20. Primus A. (C) 7. Brazil E. 10. McAloine M.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist T. 10. Claypole A. 29. Ferguson G. (G) 3. Johnson N. 15. Olding H. 8. Rodgers A. 6. Rose D. 23. Smith K. 14. Wellings C.
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 5. Goddard A. 9. Harries E. 17. McGowan T. 30. Pettit E. (G) 45. Rae S. 35. Roberts E. 18. Sena K.
Coaches
Davies C.
Parker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, McAloine M. ⚽, Nicoll A. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Collett M. ⚽, Brazil E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Omewa J. ↓, Claypole A. ↑,
57', McAloine M. 🟨,
60', Murphy A. ↓, Rodgers A. ↑,
60', Thomas F. ↓, Almqvist T. ↑,
65', Simpson J. 🟨,
67', Nicoll A. ↓, McGowan T. ↑,
74', Kiernan L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Bashford M. ⚽,
81', McAloine M. ↓, Harries E. ↑,
82', Simpson J. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
84', Boye-Hlorkah C. ↓, Wellings C. ↑,
88', Brown R. 🟨,
90+1', Palmer A. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
90+1', Brazil E. ↓, Rae S. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).
Nottingham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Southampton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nottingham could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.