The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 20.9%
Draw 24.9%
Southampton 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
23.6%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
25.4%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ipswich Town - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Negri N. (G) 2. Boswell M. (C) 24. Paige P. 23. Weir K. 22. Roe B. 6. Mitchell L. 21. Cavanagh C. 17. Peskett S. 16. Graham K. 25. Ashworth-Clifford L. 99. Ademiluyi P.
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 66. Palmer A. 11. Nicoll A. 14. Bashford M. 10. McAloine M. 17. McGowan T. 20. Primus A. (C)
Substitutes
32. Baker A. 9. Dean R. 31. Hartley L. (G) 3. Hughes S. 15. Las N. 26. Meena M. 10. O'Brien L. 7. Thomas N. 20. Wearing M.
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 3. Mott M. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 18. Sena K. 15. Wade E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Bashford M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Ashworth-Clifford L. ⚽, Peskett S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Simpson J. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
46', Bourne T. ↓, Hack E. ↑,
68', Ferguson A. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
77', Ashworth-Clifford L. ↓, Baker A. ↑,
82', McGowan T. ↓, Sena K. ↑,
89', McAloine M. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
90+5', Graham K. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Brown R. ⚽,
90+7', Mitchell L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Southampton is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.