The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest U21 53.9%
Draw 22.8%
Derby County U21 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
21.8%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
22.1%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest U21's performance.
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Nottingham Forest U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nottingham U21 will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Derby U21 will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Murray-Jones G. (G) 2. Hammond B. 4. Thompson J. 6. Frank D. 3. McAdam K. (C) 8. Perkins J. 10. Nadin J. 5. Powell J. 7. Sinclair J. 9. Fletcher K. 11. Ndala J.
1. Evans H. (G) 2. Rooney J. 6. Cox D. (C) 4. Robinson D. 3. Moloney R. 7. Perry J. 5. Turley F. 8. Allen C. 11. Osong J. 10. Davidson J. 9. Wheeldon L.
Substitutes
16. Boulter E. 14. Brown C. 65. Hanks J. 15. Norkett M. 12. Willows K. (G)
16. Ebuka C. 15. Gough B. 12. Osayande A. 13. Shattell J. (G) 14. Stepien-Iwumene A.
Coaches
Joyce W.
Buxton J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Wheeldon L. ⚽,
39', Perkins J. 🟨,
44', Robinson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Turley F. 🟨,
60', Davidson J. ↓, Gough B. ↑,
67', Allen C. 🟨,
72', Gough B. ↓, Ebuka C. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Fletcher K. ⚽, Nadin J. (A),
82', Allen C. ↓, Stepien-Iwumene A. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Stepien-Iwumene A. 🟨,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 18 and 17).
Nottingham U21 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Derby U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Nottingham U21 will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Nottingham U21 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.8:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2