Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Notts County		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	5.75
	1.39	4.5	6
	1.4	4.85	6.25
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.62 ↓ (5)	6.26 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
65.6%

Draw
19.8%

Tamworth
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

12%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Tamworth have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notts County - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Notts County is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamworth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Notts County have a series of guest games.

In this match Notts County is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English FA Cup
16.10.21	Tamworth - Notts County	0:0 ✺
English National League
09.10.21	Yeovil Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
05.10.21	Halifax Town - Notts County	3:2 ✺
02.10.21	Notts County - Woking	1:4 ✺
25.09.21	Altrincham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TWLLL
- Tamworth
English FA Cup
16.10.21	Tamworth - Notts County	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.10.21	Tamworth - Stourbridge	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	Peterborough Sports - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	St Ives Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.10.21	Tamworth - Notts County	0:0

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